Políticas públicas para meio ambiente no semi-árido brasileiro. Regressão Logística com o Modelo PER

This paper aims to explain, through statistical modeling, and under model Pressure-State-Response (PER), what leads the municipalities to adopt reactive environmental policies, in the cuts Brazil, the Semi-Arid region, in Northeast Brazil Exclusive Northeast. The variables used to build the model were selected among those of the Supplement to the Environmental Research and Information Cities Basic (MUNIC) of 2002. The explanatory variables of the model were obtained from that same supplement the questionnaire and also from managing statistics of MUNIC 2002 and HDI. Were also considered variables on the general characteristics of the municipality, as track of population and location in large metropolitan area or region. The results show that, in the semi-arid, for the statistically significant variables, the structural ones have high weight, political party of the mayor have importance but most of the variables are about local public management that depend of initiatives of the mayor.